Est. 2023 Β· Head-to-Head Points
Model output, not a fact: P(playoffs) = 25% + 150% Γ the club's share of total league roster value β a transparent, deliberately simple model printed so anyone can recompute it. With one week played it leans on roster value alone; strength of schedule joins the model only when a schedule exists in the pulled data (it does not yet β Week 2 is in progress). Treat the column as the desk's opening line, nothing more.
| Club | Roster value | Week 1 pts | P(playoffs), model |
|---|---|---|---|
| The REAL Tribal Chief | 7,555.40 | 1,383.5 | 41.8% |
| Team Ruah | 7,310.03 | 1,466.0 | 41.2% |
| BOOM! Shockalotta | 7,157.38 | 1,477.5 | 40.9% |
| Glizzy Gobblers | 7,051.69 | 1,398.0 | 40.7% |
| .... Rice and Beans | 6,914.39 | 1,326.0 | 40.4% |
| Christ The King | 6,678.46 | 1,261.0 | 39.8% |
| Team Pup n' Suds | 6,637.99 | 1,426.0 | 39.7% |
| 3Zilla Squad | 6,462.23 | 1,537.0 | 39.4% |
| Team O'Connor | 6,430.13 | 1,427.5 | 39.3% |
| CKING | 5,321.99 | 1,191.5 | 36.8% |
The tracker needs live box scores during games; the site's data is pull-based, so the tracker ships as a framework: during a live week it would chart each matchup's win probability from remaining players and minutes. It prints no probability it cannot compute β the Week 2 board on the homepage is the live state of record.
Next draft: the 2027β28 startup redraft β model order and the full mock are on the Draft Night page.